Japanese markets open the week with the yen having pulled back modestly from Tuesday’s 40-year low, but the underlying pressures that drove it there remain firmly in place, keeping intervention risk on the table for the session(s) ahead. The combination of a still-weak currency, rising import costs and a fresh 30-year high in benchmark JGB […]
The prospect of nationality-based fee arrangements adds a new layer of uncertainty to an already fragile reopening of the strait, with the free-transit window under the initial US-Iran deal due to expire and no clarity yet on what replaces it. Any perception that Iran and Oman intend to discriminate by flag or origin risks reigniting
Mon: BoC Business Outlook Survey (Jul), German FactoryOrders (May), Swiss Unemployment Rate (Jun), EZ Construction PMI (Jun), RetailSales (May), PPI (May), US Composite/Services PMI Finals (Jun), ISM ServicesPMI (Jun) Tue: EIA STEO (Jul), Japanese Household Spending(May), German Industrial Production (May), French Balance of Trade (May), USADP Weekly Employment Change, Balance of Trade, RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism(Jul),
Nike stock is showing signs of a constructive long-term repair after its recent post-earnings volatility. The setup is not strong enough to justify chasing rallies, but the chart has improved enough that patient investors may want to watch pullbacks into support. On my scale, the current Nike stock score is +6 / +10, meaning moderately
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BOE seeks to hit inflation target without damaging output Market pricing puts the odds of a hike in November at roughly 50%. If oil stays down here the effects of the war should be unwound quickly so we will see where inflation lands by Q4. The pound is up 6 pips to 1.3352 today and
Banks are finding it hard to risk-manage the exotic yen options structures that hedge funds are using to bet on interventions by the Bank of Japan, dealers say. The trades – reverse knockout (RKO) calls with barriers set above the level where the BoJ is expected to step in – flip dealers’ volatility exposures at
The Brazilian service sector growth accelerated somewhat in June as World Cup-related viewing events, hospitality spending, and media activity helped support demand, survey results published by S&P Global showed on Friday. The seasonally adjusted S&P Global Brazil Services Business Activity Index rose to 51.3 in June from 50.4 in May. A score above 50 indicates
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2026.07.03 2026.07.03 XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 03.07.26–10.07.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 3,927.70 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 3,927.70. Stop Loss: below 3,860.00, Take Profit: 4,900.00–5,610.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below
The Dollar’s decline paused on Friday as trading quietened ahead of the US Independence Day holiday, but the bigger story is not the day’s price action. It is that the foreign exchange market is beginning to move beyond the one-dimensional narrative that dominated much of the second quarter. For weeks, almost every major currency traded
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar has weakened across the board yesterday following the US NFP report. The data wasn’t bad, but it was enough to trigger a slightly dovish repricing in interest rate expectations. The chances for a July hike dropped to 17% vs 30% before the NFP release, and the probabilities for a
